The number that matters
6.02%. That’s the low end of new self-storage loan rates as of Q4 2026.
Two years ago, borrowing costs sat above what most facilities yielded. Every deal had to clear a higher debt-service hurdle. Many didn’t.
Now the spread has flipped. SOFR dropped 110 basis points. Lenders are underwriting again. For the first time since 2024, the debt on a well-underwritten storage deal costs less than the property produces.
What changed
SOFR: 5.3% in January 2024 → 4.2% in November 2025. That’s the benchmark that matters for commercial real estate floating-rate debt.
DSCR minimum: 1.15x in 2021 → 1.25-1.35x now. Tighter, but manageable. The lenders who stayed in the space through the 2022-2024 cycle are writing deals again, and they’re underwriting for actual cash flow, not projected rents from a broker’s pro forma. That works in favor of the conservative buyer.
100% bonus depreciation is available in 2026. For an acquisition in the $1-3M range, that’s real first-year tax savings.
Who this helps
The buyer who’s been waiting on the sidelines.
The investor who found a deal in 2024 that penciled at a 5.5% rate but needed a 7% note to make the DSCR work — and walked. That same deal at 6.02% with the same T12 and the same stabilized NOI changes the math. It’s not a different deal. It’s a different rate environment.
The maturity wall we talk about — facilities coming due for sale as the 2013-2015 construction wave hits year 10-12 — creates supply on the buy side. Positive leverage lets a buyer meet that supply with capital that works. The two forces together: more facilities for sale + cheaper debt to buy them. That’s the acquisition window.
What hasn’t changed
Conservative underwriting is still your shield. A 6.02% rate on a bad deal is just cheap debt on a bad deal. The walk-away rule still holds: if the deal doesn’t work on its own merits, let it go.
DSCR at 1.25-1.35x means lenders want skin in the game. The days of 1.15x DSCR with 10% down are behind us. For a buyer with real equity and a real track record, that’s a filter that keeps the undercapitalized bids out of your way.
Run the numbers.Pull the rate sheet from a lender who does self-storage deals. Compare it to your last deal’s underwriting. If the spread between your rate and your NOI has widened, every deal you passed on in 2024 deserves a second look — assuming the T12 held up. Positive leverage doesn’t mean any deal works. It means the deals that worked before work better. Run the numbers. Then run them again.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Figures in these posts are historical results for those specific deals or the cited industry data, not projections, and nothing here constitutes investment advice. The math that decides a deal is the math you do before you sign — underwrite it yourself, or have someone you trust walk it with you.
